Longtime polling expert Larry Sabato had some bad news for President Donald Trump concerning his claim that there will be a “red wave” in November instead of a blue wave.
During an appearance on MSNBC with Chuck Todd, the University of Virginia Center for Politics Director responded after Todd observed that Trump appears to be holding rallies in states that are important to his re-election chances rather than go to them to help Republican candidates, many of whom are in serious trouble in states like Ohio and Pennsylvania, two states he won in 2016.
“This is a president who filed for re-election on the day he was inaugurated for the first term,” Sabato said. “We’ve never seen anything like this before from a president.”
“He has been running flat-out,” he continued. “His re-election campaign is running flat-out and I think they know that even if Republicans hold the Senate given the very pro-Republican map that exists, President Trump is in trouble in some of these states, he’s fallen considerably in approval.”
Sabato warned Republicans that the Midwestern states they claim to care so much about are about to flip to the Democrats despite Trump’s claims to the contrary.
“The Midwest as a whole seems to be flipping in the midterm year,” Sabato said. “All the states he carried are getting ready, it appears, to either elect Democratic senators or Democratic governors or both.”
Indeed, Democrats are poised to take control of the House and currently lead by a comfortable margin in the generic congressional ballot. As for the Senate, Republicans will be lucky if they hold on by a single seat as Democrats are leading Senate races in red states like Arizona and Nevada and are competitive in races in Texas and elsewhere.
Todd pointed out that Trump’s trade wars were the beginning of the Republican slide in the Midwest as tariffs have taken their toll on American workers, farmers, and businesses, including Trump’s own supporters.
Sabato agreed, but also noted that Trump’s cruelty and incivility isn’t going very well with the “nice” people in the Midwest region.
“If there has ever been an abnormal presidency, we’re in it,” he continued before driving a stake through Republicans midterm chances.
“Red wave ain’t gonna happen, it’s just a question of how big the blue wave is,” he concluded. “But there’s going to be a blue wave.”
Here’s the video via YouTube.
Featured Image: YouTube screenshot